Start with sample size, not calendar days
Duration is the output of the calculation. First estimate how many observations each variant needs, then divide by the traffic that actually enters the experiment.
Smaller lifts take longer
Detecting a 5% relative improvement is much harder than detecting a 30% improvement. Teams often underestimate this and stop tests before they are informative.
Account for traffic allocation
If only half of site visitors enter the experiment, use that eligible traffic rather than total pageviews when estimating duration.
Avoid peeking-based decisions
Repeatedly checking a conventional fixed-horizon test and stopping as soon as the result looks favorable raises the chance of a false positive. Define the plan before starting.
When the duration is impractical
If the required run time is measured in months, test a larger change, choose a higher-traffic decision point, or use pre-launch preference research to narrow alternatives first.
Related tools and guides
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